Autonoma fordon

[spacecoin]

Waymo listar ut vad fotgängare ska göra med key points och detektering av gester. Ett nödvändigt område för att kunna köra bra och säkert i stan!
https://blog.waymo.com/2022/02/utilizin ... ation.html

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MobileEye kör på tre kontinenter:

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Robot Brains intervjuar Alex Kendall, VD för Wayve.

Man brukar ju ofta säga att Cruise/Waymo och Tesla är på olika sidor av spektrumet. Wayve är dock långt mer extrema än Tesla och använder bara kameror (just nu) och ETT enda stort NN (från sensor till styrning, detta kallas end-to-end ML) och inga detaljerade kartor.

Det är en hel del hype här, och Wayve har varit ute och letat pengar nyligen. $200M blev det.


Det är inte första gången folk använder ren end-to-end RL för att köra. Vi får se hur långt Wayve kommer.

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Inte självkörande bilar men ändå intressant för en del kanske:
Lex Fridman modererar ett samtal om intelligens mellan Yann LeCun och Yoshua Bengio. Båda två är Turing award winners ("nobelpriset för datornördar") och har arbetat med ML sedan slutet av 80-talet.

Länk till eventet:

(Ca 1:18:30 in)

[spacecoin]

Cruise och Waymo får tillstånd att gå live med Robotaxi (och kan därmed börja ta betalt).

https://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/ ... 694131.PDF

[TiborBlomhall]

Cruise och Waymo får tillstånd att gå live med Robotaxi (och kan därmed börja ta betalt).

https://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/ ... 694131.PDF

...fast fortfarande måste mänsklig chaufför sitta bakom ratten beredd att ta över.

"The Drivered Deployment program is distinct in that it allows for fare collection and shared rides and requires a safety driver to be present in the vehicle."

https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-serv ... -questions

[spacecoin]

Cruise och Waymo får tillstånd att gå live med Robotaxi (och kan därmed börja ta betalt).

https://docs.cpuc.ca.gov/PublishedDocs/ ... 694131.PDF

...fast fortfarande måste mänsklig chaufför sitta bakom ratten beredd att ta över.

"The Drivered Deployment program is distinct in that it allows for fare collection and shared rides and requires a safety driver to be present in the vehicle."

https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-serv ... -questions

Ja, men det dröjer nog inte länge förrän i alla fall Cruise är redo att köra helt utan om myndigheterna är det. Jag tippar på i år i SF för Cruise. Det är kul att det är ett litet race nu mellan Cruise och Waymo. Vi får se vem som kommer i mål först i riktig stadsmiljö.

Cruise har en liggande ansökan sedan i slutet på förra året:
https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/regulatory-serv ... ter-status

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Waymo har börjar köra interna tester i SF nu utan säkerhetsförare på dagtid:
https://blog.waymo.com/2022/03/taking-o ... y-bay.html

[spacecoin]

Stoppa autonowashingen säger Electronic Engineering Times.

We hear repeated claims from AV advocates that using technology to replace humans as drivers will lead to safer roads. But where is the evidence? Moreover, where is the progress?
Privately owned passenger vehicles are not going to be autonomous, or self-driving, any time soon. As engineers, we know this, so why aren’t more of us speaking up and having this conversation?

The conclusion is obvious: There is no trend to autonomous operation in privately owned passenger vehicles, at least throughout this decade. Driver assistance, yes. Supervised automation, yes. But autonomous operation in consumer vehicles? No.

https://www.eetimes.com/we-really-need- ... confusion/

[spacecoin]

AutoX verkar inte så intresserade av säkerhet (dom heller):
https://archive.ph/C0JvF

Branschen är rätt rutten. Många oseriösa aktörer.

[spacecoin]

BMW 7 series (i7) får hands-free L2+ som Supercruise och L3 i kökörning som EQS senare:
https://www.thedrive.com/new-cars/45016 ... ving-fight

[spacecoin]

VW kör om Tesla i förarstöd i EU?

Travel assist got huge improvements.
- automatic lanechange
- detection of roundabouts
- slowing prior to sign
- emergency lane in traffic jams
- sign recognition

[spacecoin]

Första videon med Mobileye Drive (Level 4 robotaxi system). 40 min unedited - Jerusalem:


Målet är att vara live i Israel och Tyskland i år.

[Zalman3]

Uppdaterat första posten med en lista av spelare. Saknas någon?

John Deere Reveals Fully Autonomous Tractor at CES 2022
https://www.deere.com/en/news/all-news/ ... or-reveal/

[spacecoin]

Pony.ai becomes first self-driving firm to get taxi license in China
Pony.ai has received a license to operate 100 Robotaxis as traditional cabs in Nansha district, Guangzhou city, Guangdong province.

https://cnevpost.com/2022/04/24/nio-bac ... -in-china/

Pony.ai, a Chinese self-driving startup, is backed by Toyota Motor and NIO Capital.

[spacecoin]

50 autonoma gatsopare från WeRide:
https://autonews.gasgoo.com/m/70020239.html

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Self-driving lane on I-94 gets $130M from Ford and others:
https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2 ... thers.html

Det här är ju så jävla dumt. Amerikaner vägrar verkligen åka kommunalt.

[spacecoin]

Det är drygt två är sedan Stefan Seltz-Axmacher skrev sin välkända och ovanligt ärliga bloggpost i samband med att Starsky inte lyckades med sin Series-B-runda.

Fortfarande klockrena spaningar.

Förväntningar på AI:

"Five years later and AV professionals are no longer promising Artificial General Intelligence after the next code commit. Instead, the consensus has become that we’re at least 10 years away from self-driving cars.
It’s widely understood that the hardest part of building AI is how it deals with situations that happen uncommonly, i.e. edge cases. In fact, the better your model, the harder it is to find robust data sets of novel edge cases. Additionally, the better your model, the more accurate the data you need to improve it. Rather than seeing exponential improvements in the quality of AI performance (a la Moore’s Law), we’re instead seeing exponential increases in the cost to improve AI systems — supervised ML seems to follow an S-Curve."

"The S-Curve here is why Comma.ai, with 5–15 engineers, sees performance not wholly different than Tesla’s 100+ person autonomy team. Or why at Starsky we were able to become one of three companies to do on-public road unmanned tests (with only 30 engineers)."

"If L1 is the line of human equivalence, then leading AV companies merely have to prove safety to be able to deploy. I don’t think I know anyone serious who believes this, but it is a possibility. If L2 is the case, the bigger teams are somewhere from $1–25b away from solving this problem. When big AV investors say that autonomy is an industry just for big companies, this is the bet that they’re making. If, however, L3 is the line of human equivalence it’s unlikely any of the current technology will make that jump. Whenever someone says autonomy is 10 years away that’s almost certainly what their thought is. There aren’t many startups that can survive 10 years without shipping, which means that almost no current autonomous team will ever ship AI decision makers if this is the case."

Finns även ett Autonocast-ansnitt som är en intervju om bloggposten: http://www.autonocast.com/blog/2020/3/2 ... f-autonomy

En annan intressant inlägg i debatten är detta från Gary Marcus (ex Uber ATG):
https://nautil.us/deep-learning-is-hitt ... all-14467/

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Dude, where's my self-driving car?
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/di ... r-00028703

"The biggest roadblock is not​ law. The federal government and several states have given the green light. The biggest roadblock is that robotics is hard."

"You could deploy autonomous cars today — if you limited where they went/what part of the city they could operate in, kept them under 25 mph, created their own lanes for them (think bus lanes), and only deployed them on good-weather days. The current sensor plus algorithm technology is capable of handling "normal" driving conditions, which is what your average car/driver experiences 99 percent of the time."

[spacecoin]

Waymo utökar till downtown Phoenix:
"Calling all Downtown Phoenix residents! Our Waymo One Trusted Tester program is expanding. Help us shape the future of autonomous ride-hailing in your community by downloading the Waymo One app and expressing interest to ride with us there."

[spacecoin]

Who Will Win The Self-Driving Game?:
https://groundtruthautonomy.com/opinion ... ving-game/

"Risk: AV Edition is played simultaneously on multiple maps stacked like pancakes. Each of these maps represents different areas in which AV companies can operate different types of autonomous driving services, including but not limited to: sidewalk bots, robotaxi, last mile, middle mile, and trucking. (A future expansion pack could include privately owned autonomous cars, which is a very different game, with different mechanics.)"

[spacecoin]

Motional börjar med autonoma IONIQ5 för att leverera mat:
https://motional.com/news/motional-and- ... nta-monica

(men givetvis ligger Tesla långt före alla andra)

[spacecoin]

ArgoAI live nu i två städer DRIVERLESS och DAGTID:
https://www.argo.ai/company-news/argo-a ... mi-austin/

Legacy auto (Ford, GM, VW, Mercedes) piskar skiten ur Tesla när det gäller autonomi. Mercedes har L3. De andra har L4.

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"The misperception is apparent in Musk’s choice of words: “self-driving … that is better than human.” In developing an AV, engineers’ goal is to ensure that everything the vehicle does is what its human developers and operators want it to do. Unpredictable behavior by the vehicle must be extirpated. The goal in AV development is to ensure that humans so thoroughly determine how the vehicle performs that the vehicle itself can have zero autonomy.

AVs are in fact human-driven vehicles, though the operators are not in the vehicle, and they control it through programs rather than through a direct physical interface. These human operators must be biased – otherwise they will have no paying human customers. Except in niche applications or in services operated at a loss (such as Alphabet’s Waymo, and perhaps Tesla’s eventual robotaxis), they must not value safety so much that the vehicle never exceeds 20 mph. They must also value the customer’s experience more than they value the preferences of others outside the vehicle—if they don’t, they will lose their customers.

These human biases are business imperatives, and they come at a cost to safety that precludes the kind of safety gains that Musk and other AV promoters have predicted. AVs cannot become common until they can earn more revenue than they cost. And they can’t do that and prioritize safety over customer satisfaction."

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/elon- ... 1652877067